Kerala Rising: From Exporting People to Exporting Ideas · Page 260 of 353

KERALA RISING · FROM EXPORTING PEOPLE TO EXPORTING IDEAS

KERALA RISING · FROM EXPORTING PEOPLE TO EXPORTING IDEAS
with wide ranges; the true revenue could plausibly
be higher, particularly if diaspora patronage
responds to the named-corridor model at anything
like the scale the remittance figures suggest is
available.
Leaning conservative on both sides is deliberate,
because the argument this book makes does not
need optimistic inputs to hold. The whole point is
that the gap between a rounding-error cost and a
thousands-of-crores value is so wide that the
conclusion survives even pessimistic assumptions
about how fast revenue arrives and how much
verification costs. If the case depended on best-case
numbers, it would be fragile; because it survives
worst-case numbers on both sides, it is sturdy. A
reviewer who replaces these illustrative figures with
their own, harsher ones will find the shape
unchanged: the AI stays trivial, the value stays
large, and the only thing that moves is the date of
break-even; which is exactly the uncertainty the
book has been candid about throughout.
There is one assumption the model cannot make
conservative, and it should be named: the
assumption that the behaviour change happens at
all. No financial table can prove that citizens will
respond to the loop; only the pilot can. So the
financial model is best read as conditional; if the
loop closes, here is why the money works, and the
pilot is what tests the condition. The economics are
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