Kerala Rising: From Exporting People to Exporting Ideas · Page 347 of 353

KERALA RISING · FROM EXPORTING PEOPLE TO EXPORTING IDEAS

KERALA RISING · FROM EXPORTING PEOPLE TO EXPORTING IDEAS
– Durability: no significant decline in participation
in the final two months versus the peak,
indicating a forming habit rather than a novelty
spike.
– Cost: actual verification cost per action at or
below the conservative one-rupee assumption.
The failure threshold, stated before the pilot runs
Equally, the conditions under which the pilot is
declared a failure and stopped are fixed in advance,
because a pilot that cannot fail proves nothing. The
pilot is judged a failure, and the unwind protocol
triggered, if any of the following holds at month
twelve:
– Participation never exceeds 15 percent of
households in any month, indicating the loop did
not take hold.
– Logged participation rises but independentlyaudited street cleanliness does not improve by at
least 15 percent, indicating people are gaming
the points rather than changing behaviour, the
most important failure to catch.
– Participation in the poorest quartile runs below
one-third of the richest quartile’s, indicating the
design entrenches advantage and should not be
scaled as built.
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